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It is also true that gambling is popular because it offers the hope of being able to turn a little money into a lot. Those additional rules serve to substantially boost profits. Now they have crossed the line! When you are asked if you want to add another Grand to your bankroll, be very careful of your cursor's position before clicking the "money button" to draw more dough. Gambling "experts" see everything in black and white, and find any challenge to the house edge simply hilarious. So let's be clear: Ken Smith has no connection with anything you see in this blog, and target betting small 't' and small 'b' owes nothing whatever to Jerry Patterson. It's called losing - and casinos and their state sponsors consider it your duty! Test my ideas and use them or don't. Skeptics say that the fakers and frauds who create betting systems honest people never try, they tell us! Featured Post It's fine by me if the gambling biz wants to portray me as a clueless crackpot. Mathematicians can "prove" the hazards of progressive betting with simulations built on a random numbers generator. And also as in baccarat, once all the rounds were punched in to a conditional spreadsheet and more realistic table limits were applied, Target beat the same pattern of wins and losses with consummate ease - although not without risk. All Target needs is two successive wins to cover the LTD and drop back to a minimum bet, starting a new series. I get flak from time to time about the big bets that progressive betting sometimes requires, but all I can ever say in response is that without them, there's no way to win in the long run. But there is a quick and easy and also profitable way to disprove this nonsense. It's easy enough to see why. Something for nothing but it's worth a lot more They say that if you get something for nothing, that's usually all it's worth. Double-up is progressive betting, and progressive betting works , as the casinos confirm with every new step they take to thwart its use. I absolutely do not recommend double-up betting other than for the test I just described. Such simulations require that the "player" be barred from taking any defensive action under any circumstances. In other words, he has to bet like a mythematician. Mythematics is just one trick among many. An important reminder: The only person likely to make money out of this blog is you, Dear Reader. They'll learn better one day. There's nothing to buy, ever, and your soul is safe from me, at least. At the core of the "You can't win" axiom is the tenet that while a system or strategy can certainly be tweaked to beat a few thousand random outcomes, it is sure to fail against any other sample of similar size. Smith is an advocate of card counting and advantage play, and as such does not recognize any alternative betting method as viable. But in the Bodog samples, when Target was stripped of all its rules other than its critical requirement that any mid-recovery win must be followed by a "turnaround" bet, it won Target's win and loss progression multiples and its responses to pushes or ties are all intended primarily to help conceal the use of a progressive betting strategy although I admit that casino pit personnel are not always as easily fooled as I would like them to be! Smith's app is about as perfect as these things get. If you choose to learn the target betting strategy described in these posts, all it will cost you is your time. Some of them, at least. Once in a great while, finger bounce occurs, and an extra card is "dealt" unasked. Too many people accept without question the house-biased conventional wisdom that progressive betting cannot win over the long haul. Strategy debunkers many of them employed by the gambling industry point to complex, unplayable rules as just one of many impractical components of systems that are sure to lose in the long run. If you ignore the friendly tip, a pit boss will soon appear at your elbow, make polite introductions, and repeat the advice the dealer gave you. Is the world flat and can apples rise to the sky? I have provided links to those Bodog games not because I am a shill for an online casino that experience tells me cheats without a conscience, but because I'd be grateful if a few readers would give the funny-munny games a try and provide me with some feedback. If it's a little too far to the right, you will accidentally choose to quit, and then it's game over. There's a narrative thread here, so if you can spare enough time to start at the beginning the "ghost story" below you will hopefully get even more out of the blog. A couple more things you should know My extensive use of Ken Smith's Basic Strategy Trainer BST blackjack application in this blog does not and is not meant to imply his endorsement of target betting. Please e-mail scanned logs to me. And the notion that losing is "fun" is almost too preposterous to merit comment, except that millions of people exemplify the definition of insanity by repeatedly returning to the tables with inadequate bankrolls, always expecting that this time, they'll win. Why is that, do you think? Boy is it maddening to accidentally draw a 10 to a perfect Generally, Mr. Sorry, folks, it can't be done in the long run. The most important thing to notice when you're sliding down the slippery slope is how often the Target rules would have been able to conquer a negative trend if only the table limits had been higher. What is especially revealing about this scenario one that you will find never varies is that the same consideration and friendly advice is never offered to drunks and other fools who are throwing their money away all around you. The blackjack simulation illustrated in logs here is Ken Smith's Blackjack Strategy Trainer and if you choose to apply my rules and log your results accurately in the format I use, I would welcome access to your data. Ignorance is among the casino gambler's worst enemies, right up there with greed, stupidity, a pitiful bankroll, and a thirst for "free" cocktails. Target betting is a generic phrase meant to convey the core premise of my betting method, which is to maximize the positive effect of winning trends and minimize the damage done by negative trends. If you persist, you will be discouraged from further play. And it will be a valuable investment. But they also increase risk, which is why they can be modified or eliminated to suit each individual player's temperament I can hear the protests now: "That's crazy! Meanwhile, state governments outside of Nevada persist in mandating table limits that they claim will "protect" gamblers, knowing that mathematics will always confirm that restricted betting spreads can only work in casinos' favor. But 5, rounds translate to at least 30 hours of non-stop play for the average punter, so it's a "representative sample" by most people's standards, mythematicians excepted. At 5, rounds, it was a relatively small sample in math terms - a tiny drop in a very big bucket when compared with the number of bets placed in even a mid-sized casino on any given day. The same card is never dealt twice between shuffles, and that's saying a lot. A late question: "How would a simple Martingale have done against the same two sets of Bodog outcomes? Target players, meanwhile, know that winning comes in shades of green, not grey! Monday, August 29, There's only one long-term alternative to progressive betting. Although occasional and always temporary blind luck will keep those suckers coming back. Sunday, August 28, Casinos and bookies know they're not unbeatable, so they do whatever it takes to protect themselves. Patterson's ideas, and could as easily be described as "pattern betting" because it relies on predictable, reliable actual patterns that can be seen in any sample of random outcomes from games of chance.

This blog exists to give free lessons in a simple but true gambling premise: that it is possible to overcome the negative effect of losing more bets than you win an inevitability in a casino by betting in such a way that you consistently win more when you win than you lose when you lose.

But stupid? Let me first reassure my bodog blackjack practice models readers that I'm doubling system the crackpot who's threatened to sue the author of the rant extracted ab Winning with Target Betting. Not in this case.

Of course, in real play, no one in his or her right mind would keep plugging away at the table limit.

One more piece of friendly advice: If you are inclined to use target betting with real money against online "casinos" such as Bodog, spend a few minutes and save a lot of money by reading this. And what most people don't realize is that a narrow betting spread will very often result in greater risk or exposure than what seems on the face of it to be a much more aggressive approach. In the Bodog trial, Target beat 2, rounds of baccarat, then used exactly the same rules set to prevail against 2, hands of blackjack. Posted by Seth Theobeau at AM. The rules have become simpler over the years, and the Target 3-Play approach can be found below. BST has some quaint little quirks you need to be aware of Ken Smith's Blackjack Strategy Trainer is invaluable to anyone wanting to learn the game and how to beat it! Some years ago, a systems promoter named Jerry Patterson devised a method that he described as Target Betting with a capital 'T' and a capital 'B' which drew its name from My version of target betting has nothing whatever to do with Mr. And it works for cash-strapped state governments because stealing money from innumerate dreamers is politically preferable to the honest alternatives: cutting waste and raising taxes. If you don't have a betting strategy, you will pro Does it make any sense for online casinos to cheat It may be true that in the world of gambling math, Casinos and bookies know they're not unbeatable, s There's only one long-term alternative to progress An easy way to test the lie that progressive betting can't win. I avoid it not because it doesn't work, but because casinos will not permit it to be played. Next time you are in a casino, stroll up to a low-rent blackjack table, and start betting a Martingale progression -5, , for example. I play BST using my laptop's touch panel and tap to draw or stand. The only way to dodge that is to place no more than wo or three bets at any one layout - and that's awful hard on shoe leather! Three zebras meet their first horse or a trio of mythemat- icians discuss a new winning strategy? It's up to you. In the Bodog tests - as in all others in the past two or three decades - bet limits were deliberately set to be well within the range allowed in Nevada casinos. Real players have more sense. Psychic ability is not required, just discipline and commitment. Trouble is, it can't be played without encountering what card-counters used to call "heat" from pit personnel.